{"name":"AWG Workforce Risk Map","what_it_measures":"The share of county employment in work where AI usage is already observed, based on the occupational mix of each county’s industries. It is a measure of exposure, not a prediction of job loss: high exposure can mean work gets faster, not that workers are replaced.","unit":"percent of county employment exposed (pct_exposed)","model_version":3,"data_file_version":"5.0","data_generated_at":"2026-07-31T22:30:31.969Z","geography":{"coverage":"United States, including the District of Columbia and territories where Census CBP data exists","granularity":"County, identified by 5-digit FIPS code; state rollups by 2-letter postal code","metro":"No metropolitan-area dimension","areas_covered":3202},"industry_dimension":"19 sectors derived from 2-digit NAICS codes","sources":[{"name":"Anthropic Economic Index","role":"Observed AI usage by occupation: task depth, task breadth, and automation vs. augmentation share","url":"https://huggingface.co/datasets/Anthropic/EconomicIndex"},{"name":"O*NET 30.2","role":"Occupation task statements used to compute task breadth","url":"https://www.onetcenter.org/database.html"},{"name":"BLS OEWS, May 2024","role":"National staffing patterns: occupation mix within each industry sector","url":"https://www.bls.gov/oes/"},{"name":"Census County Business Patterns 2022","role":"County employment by industry","url":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/cbp.html"}],"method":"Occupation exposure is the mean of observed task depth and task breadth from the Anthropic Economic Index. It is rolled up to industry sectors using OEWS staffing patterns, then to counties using CBP employment by sector. A concentration amplifier of up to +30% applies when one industry contributes an outsized share of a county’s exposure. State figures use the same employment weighting without the amplifier.","value_kinds":{"observed":"The data served by this API is a current snapshot built from observed AI usage and published employment data. Nothing served is a forecast.","derived":"pct_exposed, risk_index (pct_exposed rescaled to 0-100 for display), concentration_bonus and tier are AWG-derived measures computed from the source data; they are not published by the source agencies.","projected":"The website’s time slider shows modeled forecasts for future years using a saturating adoption model. Projections are labeled as such on the site and are NOT served by this API."},"derived_fields":{"pct_exposed":"Percent of county employment in work where AI usage is observed, after the concentration amplifier. The headline measure.","tier":"Where pct_exposed falls relative to other counties in the same release. A tier describes relative exposure, never a level of risk or predicted job loss.","risk_index_0_100":"pct_exposed rescaled linearly from the display range 3-30 percent onto 0-100 and clamped. It exists only to drive the map colour ramp; cite pct_exposed instead.","automation_share":"Of the AI usage observed in the county’s work, the share that is automation (AI doing the task) rather than augmentation (AI assisting a person), from 0 to 1. It is reported alongside exposure and is not used to compute pct_exposed.","concentration_bonus":"The proportional amplifier applied when a single industry contributes an outsized share of a county’s exposure, from 0 to 0.3.","dominant_industry":"The sector contributing the most to the county’s exposure."},"tiers":{"thresholds_pct":{"high":11.9,"severe":13.7},"meaning":"Tiers are relative to other US counties in the same data release: \"high\" is at or above the 67th percentile of county exposure, \"severe\" at or above the 90th, \"moderate\" below that. They rank exposure; \"severe\" does not mean severe risk or severe job loss."},"national":{"kind":"AWG-derived from observed data","pct_exposed":13.35,"automation_share":0.5108},"industries":[{"name":"Agriculture","pct_exposed":3.8,"automation_share":0.5539},{"name":"Mining","pct_exposed":5.9,"automation_share":0.553},{"name":"Utilities","pct_exposed":11.9,"automation_share":0.5039},{"name":"Construction","pct_exposed":7.3,"automation_share":0.5613},{"name":"Manufacturing","pct_exposed":8,"automation_share":0.5163},{"name":"Wholesale Trade","pct_exposed":19.5,"automation_share":0.4895},{"name":"Retail Trade","pct_exposed":14.3,"automation_share":0.4264},{"name":"Transportation","pct_exposed":5,"automation_share":0.5201},{"name":"Information","pct_exposed":25.9,"automation_share":0.5163},{"name":"Finance and Insurance","pct_exposed":26.8,"automation_share":0.4834},{"name":"Real Estate","pct_exposed":16.5,"automation_share":0.5099},{"name":"Professional Services","pct_exposed":22.8,"automation_share":0.5235},{"name":"Management","pct_exposed":24.2,"automation_share":0.5108},{"name":"Admin Services","pct_exposed":12.3,"automation_share":0.4995},{"name":"Education","pct_exposed":17.9,"automation_share":0.4383},{"name":"Health Care","pct_exposed":9.7,"automation_share":0.5496},{"name":"Arts & Entertainment","pct_exposed":9.4,"automation_share":0.4846},{"name":"Accommodation & Food","pct_exposed":2.7,"automation_share":0.4861},{"name":"Other Services","pct_exposed":10.6,"automation_share":0.5164}],"limitations":["Exposure is not displacement. It measures where AI usage is observed in the kind of work done, not how many jobs will be lost.","Occupation mix within an industry is national (OEWS), applied uniformly to every county; local staffing differences are not captured.","Census CBP excludes most government employment, self-employed workers, farm workers and private households, and suppresses cells for small counties.","Source vintages differ: CBP 2022, OEWS May 2024, and Economic Index releases from 2026. Only the Economic Index changes between routine refreshes.","Observed usage reflects one AI provider’s usage data and may under-represent other tools.","Counties with very small employment are omitted."],"citation":"Cite as: Aligned Workforce Group, AWG Workforce Risk Map, with the model version and data date returned by this endpoint, and link to https://www.withawg.com/map.","endpoints":{"county":"https://www.withawg.com/api/public/v1/risk-map/counties/{fips}","state":"https://www.withawg.com/api/public/v1/risk-map/states/{code}"},"embed_url":"https://www.withawg.com/map/embed","issuer":{"name":"Aligned Workforce Group","url":"https://www.withawg.com/"},"canonical_url":"https://www.withawg.com/map"}